Markets/District of Columbia/Washington-Arlington-Alexandria

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, District of Columbia. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$567,377

-0.1% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

4.9%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria Market Summary

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV is experiencing a correction with -0.1% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.58x, below the national average of 4.8x. Net negative migration (-19,648 returns/year) is reducing housing demand pressure. Climate risk remains low (26/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 4.94% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score77/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.6x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$123,896

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV's primary climate exposure is wind storms (46/100). The composite climate risk score of 26/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

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Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria Real Estate Market Data 2026 | Lotlytics | Lotlytics