Natchez, MS-LA Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Natchez, Mississippi. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through July 2026.

Median Home Price

$121,332

-5.0% year-over-year

12-Month Forecast

-5.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-5.1% year-over-year

Climate Risk

18/100

Very Low

Market Momentum

❄️
Cooling
7.8mo supply · Score -2/7

Net migration: Bottom 27% nationally

Income Migration

📉 Wealth Drain0.77x

In-migrants avg $35,000 AGI vs out-migrants $45,256

🏛️

Opportunity Zone Market

3 ZIP codes in Natchez are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Natchez Market Summary

Natchez, MS-LA is experiencing a correction with -5.0% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.13x, below the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk remains low (18/100), favorable for long-term investment stability.

Affordability

Affordability Score98/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.1x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$38,706

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-7.7%
Base Case-5.1%
Bull Case-2.6%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Natchez, MS-LA's primary climate exposure is tornadoes (38/100). The composite climate risk score of 18/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Natchez dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.