Markets/Illinois/Chicago-Naperville-Elgin

Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, Illinois. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$357,265

+4.9% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

7.4%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+4.8%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+4.8% year-over-year

Climate Risk

49/100

Low

Market Momentum

๐Ÿ”ฅ
Hot
2.8mo supply ยท Score +5/7

Net migration: Bottom 1% nationally

Income Migration

๐Ÿ“‰ Wealth Drain0.74x

In-migrants avg $88,518 AGI vs out-migrants $120,144

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Opportunity Zone Market

87 ZIP codes in Chicago-Naperville-Elgin are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more โ†’

Chicago-Naperville-Elgin Market Summary

Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI shows steady growth at 4.9% year-over-year appreciation, reflecting balanced market conditions with moderate demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.02x, below the national average of 4.8x. Net negative migration (-15,904 returns/year) is reducing housing demand pressure. Climate risk is moderate (49/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 7.42% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score85/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.0x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$88,850

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+2.4%
Base Case+4.8%
Bull Case+7.2%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI's primary climate exposure is tornadoes (66/100). The composite climate risk score of 49/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Chicago-Naperville-Elgin dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.